Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #1
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 80.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Invitational Riverview Health Flashrock Invite West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/15 9/22 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 89 111 110 458 137 871 364 130 173 106 86
Team Adjusted Rating 89 97 89 102 89 100 130 173 106 86
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Invitational Riverview Health Flashrock Invite West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
6  Meagan Hathaway 12 18:19 18:13 18:15 18:45 18:28 18:21 18:06 18:19
8  Rayna Fruchey 11 18:27 19:12 19:01 18:59 18:56 18:55 19:04 19:02 18:19
11  Abby Green 12 18:32 17:58 18:13 19:09 19:42 18:48 18:24
54  Zoe Duffus 10 19:12 19:24 20:05 18:58 19:33
60  Mallory Clements 11 19:15 19:16 19:02 20:20 19:52 19:34 19:07
76  Ashlyn Minton 10 19:24 18:58 19:32 19:15 19:39 19:24 19:26 19:22
123  Brooke Hansen 9 19:50 19:46 19:32 20:14 19:37 19:55 19:24 19:56 20:11
223  Shelby Christman 10 20:26 20:56 20:19 20:14
304  Kathleen Ellingson 12 20:46 20:44 21:07 20:33
339  Madelyn Ruch 9 20:52 21:11 20:40 20:56 20:50
412  Elizabeth LaLonde 11 21:10 21:02 21:46 21:35 20:20 21:04 21:13
478  Hannah Loeffler 12 21:21 20:41 21:11 21:03 21:20 21:32 21:58
592  Maya Wilkins 11 21:39 22:01 21:29 22:12 21:25 21:27
853  Ava Leimkuhler 9 22:16 22:47 21:57 22:22 22:18
1,006  McKenzie Bright 9 22:36 21:48 22:48 22:38 22:45
1,071  Courtney Brown 11 22:45 22:44
1,077  Ava Kreilach 10 22:46 22:57 22:52 22:50 22:34
1,201  Zoe Davis 12 22:59 23:10 22:52 23:11 22:53
1,426  Cobi Landwehr 10 23:30 23:32 23:15 23:40
Hannah Dinius 9 23:44 24:20 23:35 24:07 23:26
Gwyn Sunderlin 9 23:45 23:38 26:28 22:50
Sona Andrews 9 24:03 25:11 24:00 23:47 24:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.3 101 80.9 14.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.2
Semi-State 100% 1.0 42 99.4 0.6
Regionals 100% 1.0 29 100.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meagan Hathaway 100% 6.7 1.1 3.4 6.7 8.3 11.3 12.7 10.2 9.2 6.6 5.6 4.4 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.0 1.9 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Rayna Fruchey 100% 10.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 3.5 6.2 7.3 7.4 8.3 7.1 7.4 6.8 5.4 5.3 3.6 3.7 3.3 2.7 2.3 1.6 2.4 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 11.9 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.9 3.7 4.4 5.9 7.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.8 4.4 5.8 4.2 3.7 2.6 3.1 2.6 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.1 1.5 1.6 100.0%
Zoe Duffus 100% 55.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.5 96.1%
Mallory Clements 100% 59.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 94.4%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 72.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 86.6%
Brooke Hansen 100% 108.5 33.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meagan Hathaway 100% 2.7 9.0 23.4 24.4 16.5 12.1 7.2 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Rayna Fruchey 100% 4.3 2.0 8.1 14.7 20.0 17.8 15.3 9.0 5.0 3.3 1.8 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 5.1 1.6 5.5 9.9 14.0 17.6 16.8 14.9 8.9 4.5 2.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Zoe Duffus 100% 16.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.6 4.9 5.3 4.9 7.3 6.8 6.3 6.9 6.7 7.1 6.1 4.8 6.1 4.7 3.3 2.8 2.1 100.0%
Mallory Clements 100% 17.3 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.1 4.3 6.0 5.2 5.8 5.6 6.4 6.3 5.8 7.3 5.5 5.2 4.7 4.1 4.5 3.7 100.0%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 21.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 2.0 2.5 3.4 3.1 3.9 5.4 5.6 6.0 7.0 5.6 6.5 6.9 6.4 5.8 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 32.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.2 2.1 2.6 3.3 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meagan Hathaway 100% 2.3 9.6 28.9 33.6 17.0 9.0 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Rayna Fruchey 100% 3.4 2.7 11.9 22.9 31.4 24.2 5.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 3.9 1.4 5.5 15.3 29.5 36.1 8.3 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Zoe Duffus 100% 8.5 0.1 0.6 9.9 13.5 16.7 17.5 15.2 13.3 8.9 3.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Mallory Clements 100% 9.1 0.5 6.2 11.5 14.9 15.8 17.8 15.3 10.3 6.0 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 10.6 0.1 1.9 4.7 6.1 10.8 15.2 17.7 22.9 14.4 4.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 13.8 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.4 18.2 29.2 16.5 10.9 6.8 3.7 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meagan Hathaway 1.7 12.9 51.2 24.0 10.3 1.3 0.3 0.2
Rayna Fruchey 2.6 3.9 23.8 37.3 27.9 5.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
Abby Green 3.2 1.7 11.2 27.6 46.0 9.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
Zoe Duffus 7.5 0.3 10.0 13.8 17.4 15.9 16.8 13.2 8.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.1
Mallory Clements 7.9 0.3 6.3 12.4 14.9 17.4 17.0 15.1 10.4 5.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1
Ashlyn Minton 9.6 0.1 0.9 4.0 7.1 10.7 14.9 19.4 22.4 14.5 3.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Brooke Hansen 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 7.1 17.6 30.5 18.2 9.6 5.1 3.0 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1